Dan Gardner

Forecasting the Trumpocalypse

After doing an interview with ING, I was asked after the election to comment on the widespread perception that forecasting had failed horribly, experts know nothing, etc. Following is an email … Read more

Why study history?

At 3 PM on the afternoon of Election Day, I interviewed Robert Zoellick, former president of the World Bank, Under Secretary of State and Deputy Chief of Staff in the … Read more

George W. Nostradamus

I’ve been researching the use (and abuse) of history lately, and that brought me to “The Power of the Past,” an excellent new collection of essays published by Brookings. One … Read more

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Dan's Notes

This is a section for stray thoughts, comments, and observations. Consider it a blog without the obligation to post five times a day.

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